煤炭工程 ›› 2019, Vol. 51 ›› Issue (2): 106-111.doi: 10.11799/ce201902024

• 研究探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

多元逐步回归分析法在煤层含气量预测中的应用

陈小军,李鹏飞,李萍,等   

  1. 陕西省煤层气开发利用有限公司地质研究院分公司
  • 收稿日期:2018-06-21 修回日期:2018-07-29 出版日期:2019-02-20 发布日期:2019-03-19
  • 通讯作者: 陈小军 E-mail:super_cxj@126.com

Application of multiple stepwise regression analysis in prediction of coal seam gas content—Taking the 4# coal seam in Dafosi minefield as an example

  • Received:2018-06-21 Revised:2018-07-29 Online:2019-02-20 Published:2019-03-19

摘要: 煤层含气量是煤层气选区评价的重要指标,也是煤层气储量计算的重要参数。以大佛寺井田4#煤层为例,依据井田勘探阶段测试资料和煤层气井钻孔测试资料,通过相关性分析从诸多影响含气量因素中筛选出主控因素,优选运用多元逐步回归法结合主控因素建立了4#煤层含气量的预测模型,其预测值与实测值基本相符。在此基础上对未知含气量钻孔进行预测并编制出大佛寺井田4#煤层含气量等值线图,为研究区煤层气资源评价和开发选区提供重要的指导。

关键词: 煤层含气量, 多元逐步回归分析, 预测模型, 大佛寺井田

Abstract: Coal seam gas content is an important indicator for the evaluation of CBM constituency, and is also an important parameter for the calculation of CBM reserves. This paper takes the 4# coal seam of Dafosi minefield as an example, according to the test data of well field and borehole test data of CBM wells, through the correlation analysis to screen out the main control factors from many factors affecting gas content, and use multivariate stepwise regression method to combine the main control. The factors established the prediction model for coal gas content of the 4# coal seam, and the predicted values are basically consistent with the measured values. On this basis, the prediction of unknown gas-bearing boreholes and the preparation of the contour map of gas content of the 4# coal seam in Dafosi minefield provide important guidance for the evaluation and development of CBM resources in the study area.

中图分类号: